3 ≫ 2

In a new paper published today in Nature, we show that Higher-Order Interactions (HOIs) can have dramatic effects on the dynamics of ecological systems.

Jacopo Grilli, György Barabás, Matthew J. Michalska-Smith & Stefano Allesina
Higher-order interactions stabilize dynamics in competitive network models
Nature, 2017

I have written a short “Behind the paper” post for the Nature Ecology & Evolution Community, which you can find here.

James O’Dwyer has written a News & Views commentary.

Rob Mitchum has covered this work for the Computation Institute‘s website.

I have presented this work at several conferences. Here’s a video of my talk at the BES annual meeting in Liverpool (Dec 2016, ~30 mins):

What’s in a last name?

In a new paper published today in PNAS, Jacopo and I try to extract as much information as possible from an ostensibly meager source of data: a list of the names of all the researchers working in Italy, at the Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique in France, and at public universities in the US.

We show that by using simple randomizations, one can highlight several interesting facts about these different academic systems.

In how many ways can you randomize a list of last names?

The work is a bona fide exercise in style: by introducing subtle variations of the randomization algorithm, we show that in Italy researchers work in the region where they were born and raised, while in the US geography does not influence the distribution of researchers; in France, we can detect academic couples working in the same unit; we demonstrate that academic nepotism in Italy (the focus of a previous paper of mine) is declining; finally, we show that in the US immigration is field-specific.

Jacopo Grilli & Stefano Allesina
Last name analysis of mobility, gender imbalance, and nepotism across academic systems
PNAS, 2017

Because the article is paywalled for 6 months, I have stored a personal copy here.
The data and code are available on GitHub.

The article is being covered by the popular press. Here below we link some of the coverage:
In English: EurekAlert; Science Life; U Chicago News; Nature;
In Italian: Corriere della Sera; adnkronos; La Repubblica; Lettera43; Il Giornale; Wired; Wired (again); Corriere della Sera 1 and 2; Il Messaggero; Il TempoSole 24 ore; Rai TV TG 1; TGCOM 24; Il Foglio (genius! …not really); Il Fatto Quotidiano; Il Foglio (again); La Stampa;
Other languages: Naked science (Russian); Science Times (Korean); polit.ru (Russian); Xataka Ciencia (Spanish);

Update: the study was mentioned on 9/25/2017 in the TG3 news, in relation to a new scandal in which professors allegedly conspired to have their pupils hired irrespective of merit:

The edition of the evening contains a brief interview with Jacopo:

On October 12th, TG3 broadcast a discussion on this theme (with Francesco Sylos Labini and Vincenzo Barone), which includes an interview with yours truly:

Quality vs Quantity…. or not?

It is not unusual to read the tirade of a senior scientist complaining that science was better back then, when papers were fewer, and ideas better (a perfect example of this genre is here). Usually, the conclusion is that we should publish less, lest producing lower-quality science.
These considerations are based on a quite precise hypothesis—that a scientist can either produce many papers, or produce fewer good ones. Detecting such a trade-off in actual data is quite difficult, though, as scientists vary dramatically in productivity, as well as field of study.
Matt and I tried a different route, and compared scientists with themselves: does a scientist produce better papers in the years when she’s most productive? For testing our method, we took the members of the National Academy of Sciences, and reconstructed their publication history. (The rationale being that their best papers must be of high quality).
We found that these scientists tend to produce their most recognized work in years when they’re most productive. However, they also tend to produce their least impactful articles during the same productive years. This is consistent with the “random impact” hypothesis: by publishing many papers, scientists sample their distribution of good ideas more thoroughly, leading to higher maxima and lower minima.
You can read the paper here:

Matthew J. Michalska-Smith & Stefano Allesina
And, not or: Quality, quantity in scientific publishing
PLoS One, 2017

Coexistence for more than two species

One of the main obsessions in the laboratory is to build robust ecological theories for communities composed of many species.
This is especially important in competitive systems—much of our  understanding in this area descends from the analysis of the dynamics of two competitors.
In a new review published this week in Nature, Jonathan Levine, Jordi Bascompte, Peter Adler, and yours truly provide a roadmap for extending these considerations to systems with more than two species.
Interestingly, certain mechanisms, such as higher-order interactions and intransitive competition, can only be studied in high-dimensional systems.
You can read the paper here:

Jonathan M. Levine, Jordi Bascompte, Peter B. Adler & Stefano Allesina
Beyond pairwise mechanisms of species coexistence in complex communities
Nature, 2017

Here’s the “Outlook”:

In this Review, we suggest that coexistence mechanisms that emerge only in systems with more than two competitors exert a largely unexplored control over the maintenance of diversity in species-rich communities. We also highlight that when studying more than two competitors, ecologists necessarily confront an ecological network. However, it remains largely unknown how the structure of the network influences coexistence. The sparseness of evidence results from the intractability of empirically evaluating competition between many species and the technical difficulties that are inherent in tightly coupling theory to data. Despite these challenges, there are compelling reasons to deepen our understanding of these more complex mechanisms of coexistence. Armed with advances in data-driven modelling and network analyses that have been developed for multitrophic systems, ecologists are well-positioned to determine, for at least some species-rich communities, how much of the coexistence results from mechanisms that emerge only in diverse systems. Few other questions in ecology have such great potential to radically shift how we think about the maintenance and fragility of biodiversity.

15 years in science

Hard to believe, but I’ve been working in science for fifteen years! Many things have happened since I started my PhD in Antonio Bodini’s lab in Parma, but I still have fun doing my job, and I am extremely grateful for the fantastic students, postdocs and colleagues who have been working with me through the years. The anniversary calls for a song!

studying large matrices and their eigenvalues
teaching to code and to despise p-values
watching your students give excellent talks
these are a few of my favorite things

reviewing good papers that are bright and novel
writing nice code to implement a new model
having a coffee with my lab and friends
these are a few of my favorite things

finding a method to do something crazy
I will keep searching until I turn lazy
sending proposals before they are due
these are a few of my favorite things

when the grant bites
when reviews sting
when I’m feeling mad
I simply remember my favorite things
and then I can start over

Last week, I was at the National Gallery in DC, and I’ve stumbled upon the painting that is featured as the first slide of most of my talks. I think it’s a perfect metaphor of science: the reality is out there, we have a small window to observe it, and we want to compose a simplified picture to understand what is going on. May I’ll still be happy to peer through the window in 2032!

Me and one of my favorite paintings!
Me and one of my favorite paintings!